BTC Price Prediction: Will Bitcoin Reclaim $100,000 Amid Volatility?

#BTC

• Technical Support: Bollinger lower band at 99,668 USDT is critical for downside protection.
• Institutional Demand: SWC and Trump-linked ventures expanding BTC reserves signal long-term confidence.
• Regulatory Tailwinds: U.S. political endorsements may counterbalance sell-off pressures.

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Key Indicators to Watch

According to BTCC financial analyst Emma, Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at 101,910.51 USDT, below its 20-day moving average (MA) of 107,981.25. The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover with the MACD line at 3,263.20 above the signal line at 1,820.79, suggesting potential upward momentum. Bollinger Bands indicate volatility, with the price near the lower band at 99,668.38, which could act as support. Emma notes that a break above the middle band (107,981.25) may signal a stronger bullish trend.

Market Sentiment: Whale Activity and Macro Trends Impact BTC

BTCC financial analyst Emma highlights mixed market sentiment. On one hand, whale sell-offs and on-chain outflows pose short-term risks, as seen in recent headlines. On the other, institutional interest remains strong—SWC’s rebranding push and Trump Media’s bitcoin strategy reflect growing adoption. Emma cautions that while altcoins are gaining traction, BTC’s dominance could resurge if U.S. regulatory support solidifies, per Trump’s pledges and Senator Lummis’ advocacy.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Whale Sell-Offs Threaten Bitcoin’s Rally Amid Persistent Onchain Outflows

Bitcoin’s price recovery faces new headwinds as long-term holders, often referred to as 'OG whales,' have been offloading substantial amounts of BTC throughout 2025. This activity has reignited fears of a deeper market correction. Charles Edwards, co-founder of Capriole Investments, notes that these 'super whales' are liquidating holdings at an unprecedented rate, with transactions exceeding 1,000 BTC per hour since early 2025.

On-chain data reveals heavy selling from wallets dormant for seven years or more, with transactions frequently surpassing $100 million and even $500 million. Bitcoin currently trades nearly 19% below its October all-time high of $126,000, leaving analysts divided on whether this decline is a temporary pause in the bull cycle or the beginning of a more severe retracement driven by whale activity.

Glassnode data confirms a consistent pattern of distribution by long-term holders since November 2024, suggesting this is more than isolated profit-taking. One notable whale, identified as 'Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden,' recently moved 3,600 BTC (approximately $372 million), including a 500 BTC deposit to Kraken, potentially signaling active liquidation.

SWC Expands Bitcoin Holdings Amid Rebranding Push

SWC CEO Andrew Webley confirmed the company's latest Bitcoin acquisition, adding 4 BTC to its treasury this week. The move aligns with SWC's long-term digital asset strategy, yielding a 1.74% quarterly return—a figure Webley describes as competitive against industry benchmarks.

The Smarter Web Company simultaneously progresses with its corporate rebrand, finalizing a new website and creative assets. This dual focus on asset accumulation and brand positioning comes ahead of SWC's scheduled appearance at the Aquis Showcase on November 19, signaling heightened market visibility.

Capital discipline remains central to SWC's approach. The firm recently secured £0.3 million through an ATM-style financing facility, demonstrating measured growth tactics amidst volatile market conditions.

Altcoins Signal a Paradigm Shift: How the Crypto Landscape is Shaping Up

Seasoned cryptocurrency analysts are detecting early signals of a potential altcoin season, with market dynamics diverging from historical bull cycles. Bitcoin's dominance has slipped from 65% in June 2025 to 59.77% by November—a traditional precursor to altcoin outperformance. "When Bitcoin's price falls faster than alts or they rise more rapidly, the compass starts pointing elsewhere," noted one analyst during a market podcast.

The Federal Reserve's anticipated conclusion of quantitative tightening on December 1, 2025, may serve as rocket fuel for digital assets. Liquidity injections could trigger capital rotation into altcoins, particularly as sporadic price movements among individual tokens suggest accumulating momentum. Asian market activity appears to be running in parallel with these developments, though the US monetary policy remains the primary catalyst.

CryptoAppsy Emerges as a Real-Time Market Navigator for Volatile Cryptocurrency Trading

The cryptocurrency market's relentless volatility demands tools that can keep pace with its 24/7 price swings. CryptoAppsy has positioned itself as a solution, offering real-time data monitoring across thousands of digital assets—from Bitcoin to emerging altcoins—with updates every five seconds. The app aggregates global exchange data, enabling traders to spot arbitrage opportunities and react to sudden market movements.

Available in Turkish, English, and Spanish without registration barriers, CryptoAppsy combines portfolio tracking, personalized news feeds, and multi-currency support in a single interface. Its 'Panel' feature consolidates user-specific data streams, eliminating the need to juggle multiple platforms. The app currently holds a 5.0/5 user rating, underscoring its efficacy in a market where milliseconds can determine profitability.

Cathie Wood Revises Bitcoin’s 2030 Forecast Amid Stablecoin Adoption Surge

ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood has tempered her bullish Bitcoin outlook, slashing her 2030 price target from $1.5 million to $1.2 million. The adjustment reflects stablecoins' accelerating dominance as de facto digital dollars in emerging markets—a role Wood originally envisioned for Bitcoin.

"Stablecoins are taking up part of the role we expected Bitcoin to play," Wood told CNBC. Her revised forecast presents three scenarios: $1.2 million (bull case), $600,000 (base case), and $500,000 (bear case) by 2030. Despite the downgrade, Wood maintains conviction in Bitcoin's long-term value proposition, citing institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and its fixed supply.

Trump Media Reports $54.8 Million Loss Amid Bitcoin Strategy Focus

Trump Media and Technology Group (DJT) posted a $54.8 million net loss for Q3, its third consecutive quarterly deficit. Shares fell 3% to $12.90, extending a 25% monthly decline and a 60% year-to-date drop. Legal costs from its protracted SPAC merger accounted for $20 million, while $54 million in non-cash losses stemmed from digital asset accounting adjustments and market revaluations.

Despite losses, the company highlighted its Bitcoin strategy, generating $15.3 million from BTC options. It holds 15,000 BTC ($1.5 billion) as part of $3.1 billion in total assets. CEO Devin Nunes cited strong operating cash flow and plans for strategic acquisitions.

American Bitcoin Expands BTC Reserves with Trump Family Backing

American Bitcoin (ABTC) has bolstered its cryptocurrency holdings by 139 BTC, bringing its total reserve to 4,004 BTC—valued at approximately $415 million. The growth follows strategic support from Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., who endorsed the firm's dual approach of mining and market acquisitions.

Shares of ABTC closed at $4.64, marking a 2.2% uptick amid volatile trading between $4.08 and $4.65. However, Simply Wall St analysis reveals a 33% monthly decline, sparking debates about undervaluation. The company pledges transparency by disclosing Satoshi per Share metrics, while leveraging part of its BTC reserves as collateral for mining hardware purchases.

CZ Challenges Peter Schiff on Gold's Verifiability Amid Fort Knox Audit Debate

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) reignited the Bitcoin-versus-gold debate with a pointed critique of gold advocate Peter Schiff. The discussion centers on gold's verifiability challenges, particularly regarding the long-overdue audit of Fort Knox's reserves. CZ's remarks underscore cryptocurrencies' inherent transparency advantages over physical assets.

The exchange highlights a fundamental divide in asset verification methodologies. Where gold requires physical audits and trusted custodians, blockchain-based assets offer real-time, public verification. This frictionless transparency remains a cornerstone of crypto's value proposition against traditional stores of value.

Market observers note the timing coincides with growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a hedge against monetary inflation. The debate transcends mere asset comparison, touching on broader themes of trust in financial systems and the evolving nature of value storage in the digital age.

Major Changes in Bitcoin Holding Patterns Raise Market Questions

Large Bitcoin holders are offloading significant portions of their holdings, signaling a strategic shift toward traditional investments. This contrasts sharply with retail investors, who continue accumulating BTC despite market volatility. The divergence highlights growing uncertainty among institutional players as macroeconomic headwinds persist.

Analysts interpret the sell-off as a risk-reduction maneuver. "Whales are prioritizing capital preservation over speculative gains," noted one market observer. The trend suggests a recalibration of crypto exposure among sophisticated investors, with potential implications for near-term price action.

Trump Pledges U.S. Bitcoin Dominance as Lummis Advocates Strategic Reserve

Former President Donald Trump has vowed to position the United States as a 'Bitcoin superpower,' declaring an end to the federal government's 'war on crypto.' Speaking at the America Business Forum in Miami, Trump framed digital assets as critical to dollar strength, warning that rivals like China are gaining ground. 'It takes pressure off the dollar,' he asserted, signaling a policy shift toward aggressive crypto adoption.

Meanwhile, Senator Cynthia Lummis reignited her campaign for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, positioning BTC as a hedge against national debt. The Wyoming Republican praised Trump's endorsement of the proposal, tweeting that the reserve could 'offset our national debt.' The dual developments mark a watershed moment for institutional crypto acceptance, with Bitcoin emerging as a geopolitical and macroeconomic tool.

Bitcoin Hyper and LivLive Vie for Investor Attention in Crypto Presale Race

The competition for the next breakout crypto presale intensifies as Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) and LivLive ($LIVE) capture investor interest. Bitcoin Hyper aims to enhance Bitcoin's scalability as a Layer-2 solution, while LivLive integrates augmented reality, wearables, and blockchain rewards. Market participants are weighing which project holds greater explosive potential.

Bitcoin Hyper leverages the Bitcoin brand's dominance, proposing faster transactions and improved efficiency. Yet its early-stage development leaves real-world adoption unproven. LivLive's multifaceted platform combines emerging technologies, but its long-term viability remains untested. Both presales reflect growing demand for innovative blockchain applications beyond speculative trading.

Will BTC Price Hit 100000?

Emma from BTCC suggests BTC’s path to $100,000 hinges on key levels. The current price (101,910.51 USDT) must hold above the Bollinger lower band (99,668.38) to avoid further downside. A reversal above the 20-day MA (107,981.25) could accelerate gains. Below is a snapshot of critical metrics:

News-driven volatility from whale movements and regulatory developments may dictate short-term swings, but the technical setup favors a bullish breakout if support holds.